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So, if this follows historical performance, it is likely that ATVI stock will rise to higher levels going forward. See our analysis on Activision Blizzard Stock Chance of Rise for more details. This historical pattern reflects 96 out of 173, or about a 55% chance of a rise in ATVI stock over the coming month. Out of 173 instances in the last ten years that ATVI stock saw a twenty-one day drop of 10% or more, 96 of them resulted in ATVI stock rising over the subsequent one-month period (twenty-one trading days). The recent fall can be attributed to the company announcing a delay in the launch of two much awaited games - Overwatch 2 and Diablo IV, along with a miss on Q4 outlook, as we have discussed in an update below.īut now that ATVI stock has seen a fall of 10% over the last month or so, will it continue its downward trajectory, or is a rise imminent? Going by historical performance, there is a higher chance of a rise in ATVI stock over the next month. The stock price of Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ: ATVI) has seen a fall of 10% in a month, while it’s down 14% over the last ten days. This points to only a 49% probability for the stock rising over the next twenty-one trading days.Of these 95 instances, the stock has seen a positive movement over the next twenty-one trading days on 47 occasions.A change of -13% or more over twenty-one trading days is a 4% likelihood event, which has occurred 95 times out of 2515 in the last 10 years.Activision Blizzard stock declined 13% the last twenty-one trading days (one month), compared to a broader market (S&P500) rise of 4.9%.(4% likelihood event 49% probability of rise over next 21 days)

A change of -15% or more over ten trading days is an extremely rare event, which has occurred 18 times out of 2515 in the last 10 yearsĢ1D: ATVI -13%, vs.Activision Blizzard stock declined 15% over the last ten trading days (two weeks), compared to a broader market (S&P500) rise of 1.6%.